RC
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (REYN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 total net revenues were $931M, up 2% year-over-year; Adjusted EPS was $0.42 (vs $0.41 YoY), and Adjusted EBITDA was $168M (vs $171M YoY). Retail net revenues were $864M (+1% YoY), while non‑retail revenues rose to $67M .
- Results beat Wall Street consensus: revenue $931M vs $900.8M*, EPS $0.42 vs $0.3931*, and Adjusted EBITDA $168M vs $165.0M*; all were modest beats, helped by pricing actions offsetting commodity/tariff headwinds and category share gains .
- Full-year guidance lifted: 2025 net revenues now “flat to down 1%,” Adjusted EPS to $1.60–$1.64, and Adjusted EBITDA to $655–$665M; Q4 Adjusted EPS guided to $0.56–$0.60 .
- Board declared a $0.23 dividend payable Nov 28 and the company made a voluntary $50M principal payment post‑quarter; index inclusion in the S&P SmallCap 600 (effective Sept 24) is a potential flow catalyst .
Note: Estimates marked * are from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Broad-based share gains across categories (Hefty Waste Bags, Hefty Party Cups, Reynolds Wrap foil, Reynolds Kitchens parchment, store-brand food bags) drove improved results in all four business units; management: “Our people, brands and products are winning” .
- Pricing actions implemented “as planned” in aluminum foil; Reynolds Wrap retail sales up ~7% with narrowed price gaps to store brands, supporting volumes above category declines .
- Continued cost discipline: SG&A down $29M YTD; all segments grew EBITDA in Q3; CFO raised full-year revenue and Adjusted EPS guidance as programs begin to flow through .
What Went Wrong
- Gross profit declined $6M YoY and Adjusted EBITDA dipped slightly YoY (to $168M from $171M), reflecting lower volumes and commodity/tariff cost impacts despite pricing alignment .
- Hefty Tableware volumes fell 13% on continued foam declines; while EBITDA rose on pricing/input cost alignment and promo discipline, volume pressure remains a headwind .
- Consumer still under pressure (sentiment down YoY, inflation above target), and promotional intensity elevated in waste and food bags categories; management flagged risk that private-label bids could increase in a tariff‑impacted retail environment .
Financial Results
Consolidated Results vs Prior Periods
Margins (computed from reported figures)
Note: Margins are calculated using reported Net Revenues, Gross Profit, Adjusted EBITDA, and Net Income.
Segment Breakdown (Q3 YoY)
KPIs
Note: Q3 retail volume excluding foam increased 1% (3‑point foam headwind) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Our people, brands and products are winning in a challenging environment, with all four business units delivering improved results driven by share gains…” .
- CEO on category/pricing: “Reynolds Wrap aluminum foil volume outperformed the category… price gaps to store brands narrowed… offering consumers a compelling value proposition” .
- CFO: “We delivered another quarter of results above our previously communicated expectations… pleased to increase our revenue and adjusted EPS guides for the year” .
- CEO on operations: “We are… leaning more heavily on technology, the expansion of lean principles, and additional automation throughout our operations” .
Q&A Highlights
- Promotional intensity: Waste and food bags seeing elevated promos; REYN’s promo levels remain aligned with pre‑pandemic norms, with execution and innovation driving outcomes .
- Consumer health: Inflation ~3% (above target), cooling labor market, and lower consumer sentiment; REYN serving both brand‑loyal and value‑oriented consumers (barbell strategy) .
- Private-label dynamics: Expect stepped-up bid activity amid tariff uncertainty; US‑centric manufacturing footprint positions REYN to “win more than we lose” .
- Cost/pricing alignment: 2–4 pts cost headwinds from commodities/tariffs; ~4 pts pricing in Q3 intended to fully offset; sequential gross profit improvement .
- Tableware foam: Volume down, but EBITDA up ~10% despite declines; foam headwind expected to be less in 2026 (California impact annualizing) .
Estimates Context
- Outcome: Revenue, EPS, and Adjusted EBITDA were modest beats versus consensus; guidance raised should support upward estimate revisions, particularly for FY Adjusted EPS (new $1.60–$1.64 vs FY EPS consensus $1.6307*) and Adjusted EBITDA ($655–$665M vs $662.8M* midpoint) .
Note: Values marked * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Broad category share gains and effective pricing offset commodity/tariff headwinds, yielding beats on revenue, EPS, and Adjusted EBITDA; momentum into Q4 with Adjusted EPS guided to $0.56–$0.60 .
- Guidance raised for FY 2025 (revenues, Adjusted EPS, Adjusted EBITDA), signaling confidence in retail trends, cost discipline, and early benefits from manufacturing initiatives; expect incremental estimate upgrades .
- Segment mix improving: Hefty Waste & Storage and Presto delivered revenue/EBITDA growth; Tableware profitability improved despite foam volume declines—foam headwind should lessen next year .
- Cost actions and capital allocation de‑risk the model: SG&A down $29M YTD; $50M voluntary debt paydown post‑quarter; leverage at 2.4x TTM Adjusted EBITDA .
- Near-term trading: Positive setup on beats/raised guide and holiday season product activation; S&P SmallCap 600 inclusion could provide passive flows support .
- Medium-term thesis: Margin expansion through automation/lean, US‑centric supply chain advantage amid tariffs, and innovation (scented waste, parchment, Fun Foil) underpin durable earnings growth .
- Watch items: Sustained consumer pressure and promo intensity; monitor aluminum costs and tariff developments; private-label bid activity as retailers seek value .